Volume 18 Number 9.1 September 15, 2005

September started out hot and dry for most of the state with very little rain recorded until about the 10^th of the month with the exception of El Paso which received 1.10” on the 5^th and 1.25” on the 6^th. Around the 9^th, 10^th and 11^th of the month much of the state received its first rainfall of the month, with many locations over 1”. On the 11^th 25 stations reported rainfall at or above 0.01” and 9 stations reported rainfall over 1.00”, including Corpus Christi ( 1.10”) , Victoria ( 1.15”), Wichita Falls (1.65”), New Braunfels ( 1.10”), and Rockport( 2.10”). Despite the rainfall during these days most of the locations are below the average rainfall for the month. A few stations are at or around 1” below the normal, including College Station (-1.71”), Waco (-1.07”), Beaumont (-1.60”), Abilene ( -1.31”), DFW (-.95”) and Lubbock (-.98”). Hopefully some rain will reach these areas to relieve them of their dry conditions. There was very little severe weather with only 2 hail reports and 2 high wind reports through the 13^th of the month.

Forecast for the Week:

Through the 16^th to the 22^nd: A cool front is pushing it way down and is expected to lower temperatures during the weekend from the low 90s to the low to mid 80s in the panhandle of the state but is not expected to have an effect on the rest of the state. Statewide low temperatures are predicted to be in the low to mid 70s and highs in the low to mid 90s. Precipitation probabilities are 10% for a majority of the state with a few locations at 20% over the weekend.

(Forecast material obtained from the National Weather Service)

Monthly Outlook for October 2004:

From the Climate Prediction Center: Most of the state is predicted to have an equal chance of above normal, normal, or below normal temperatures for the month except for the western portions of the Trans Pecos region which is predicted to have a 33% chance of temperatures being above normal. The entire state is predicted to have an equal chance of above normal, normal, or below normal precipitation for the month.

Temperature forecast link: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/off14_temp.gif

Precipitation forecast link: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/off14_prcp.gif

Dr. John Nielsen-Gammon (State Climatologist)

Matt Mosier (Undergraduate Assistant)