Volume 15 Number 10.1 October 18, 2002

A strong cold front moved through the state on Sunday, the 13^th, bringing some light showers but cold air. Temperatures were more Fall-like with many areas at or slightly below normal. Highs in San Antonio and San Angelo topped out in the 50s. Another dry front moved through the state on Tuesday, reinforcing the cool air, with low to mid 70s felt across most of the state. Precipitation for the week was light in most areas, with the exception of Waco acquiring 1.41 inches last Sunday.

Forecast for the Week

For the week of September 20:

Following a low pressure system delivering rain to many areas around the state this weekend, skies will clear out until the next low pressure system comes in next Wednesday. Prior to this system, temperatures will be from the mid 60s in the northern regions, to the mid 70s in the lower regions. Temps will cool down slightly towards the latter part of the week, following the disturbance. Early in the week, rain chances will be low, with the exception of the Brownsville area with a 50% chance of rain. Mid week, rain chances improve to 40-60% state-wide, except for the extreme western regions, as the disturbance moves through the state. Rain chances will taper off towards the end of the week.

(Forecast material obtained from the National Weather Service)

Monthly Outlook

Issued October 17, 2002

From the Climate Prediction Center: The forecast for November 2002, calls for equal probability for normal, above, or below temperatures for the entire state. There is a 0-5% greater than normal probability of precipitation for the Central part of the state including Brownsville, San Angelo, Abilene, and Wichita Falls. There is a greater than 5% probability of above normal precipitation for the eastern half of the state. There will be equal rain chances for the western region.

According the Climate Prediction Center, moderate El Nino conditions are still present. The long-lead forecasts indicate greater than normal probability for above normal precipitation; however, there is an equal probability of normal, above normal, or below normal temperatures for the duration of the winter.

Dr. John Nielsen-Gammon (State Climatologist)

Andrew Odins (Graduate Assistant)